Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado5 dic 24, 18:11 UTC1 ene 41, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the primary reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously or in quick succession (e.g., a the named outcome followed by impeachment), the market will resolve to the initial triggering event.
- Resolution criteria for each option:
- Obviously unnatural death: Clear evidence of assassination, missile strike, or other non-natural causes
- Natural death (or one appearing as such): Death attributed to health issues or age-related causes, or deaths where the cause is unclear/disputed
