Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Natural death (or one appearing as such) 25.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado5 dic 24, 18:11 UTC1 ene 41, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the primary reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia.
- If multiple events occur simultaneously or in quick succession (e.g., a the named outcome followed by impeachment), the market will resolve to the initial triggering event.
- Resolution criteria for each option:
- Obviously unnatural death: Clear evidence of assassination, missile strike, or other non-natural causes
- Natural death (or one appearing as such): Death attributed to health issues or age-related causes, or deaths where the cause is unclear/disputed
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Natural death (or one appearing as such) al 26% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia?
- Está previsto que Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2041.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Reason why Vladimir Putin ceases to be the President of Russia?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria