How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine14aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDie in office 66.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado16 ago 23, 9:56 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.4%
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Here are some details on the individual answers:
- the named outcome - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).
- the named outcome - this implies Putin accepts the results.
- If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.
- the named outcome - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).
- the named outcome - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Die in office al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- Está previsto que How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Here are some details on the individual answers: