How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónGeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania14a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDie in office 73.7%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+7.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado16 ago 23, 9:56 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
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Here are some details on the individual answers:
- the named outcome - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).
- the named outcome - this implies Putin accepts the results.
- If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.
- the named outcome - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).
- the named outcome - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.
