Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualI get demoted from master once 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 25, 8:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.
- Will not bet besides setting initial odds
- Resolution Criteria
- Each answer resolves YES or NO based on whether the specified event occurs at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Update 2026-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Net worth includes both the creator's bots and their main account combined.
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
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- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Predict my 2026 manifold journey?
- Manifold Markets cotiza I get demoted from master once al 100% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Predict my 2026 manifold journey?
- Está previsto que Predict my 2026 manifold journey se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Predict my 2026 manifold journey?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Predict my 2026 journey on manifold.