Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNot before 2034 29.3%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 25, 16:30 UTC31 dic 33, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- One option will resolve YES if the company achieves cash-flow positive status (positive operating cash flow) in that calendar year.
- The company has stated it does not expect to be cash-flow positive until it reaches $125 billion in revenue, a milestone it doesn't see coming until 2029.
- Resolution will be determined by OpenAI's official financial disclosures, SEC filings (if applicable after for-profit conversion), or verified reporting from credible financial sources like Bloomberg, Reuters, or The Information.
- Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If OpenAI ceases to exist (including being shut down or acquired), all dates will resolve NO if not previously resolved.
