Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by which date?
7.5 pts (24h)Materias primasOne-OffAmérica LatinaRegulaciónPolítica1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
2028 · —
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Referencia guardada
2028 29%Líder entre 3 opciones
2028 29%Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
3,1 mil €
Liquidez
49,9 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
2,4 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
2028Spread
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0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
29 oct 26, 21:18 UTC1 jul 28, 3:59 UTC
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Profundidad de mercado · 2028
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Manifold MarketsReglas
In March 2026, Brazil imposed a 12% export tax on crude oil through Provisional Measure (MP) 1.340/2026.
- The tax has since been extended by resolutions of the Foreign Trade Chamber (Gecex-Camex), and oil producers are challenging it in court.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) or Superior Court of Justice (STJ) issues a qualifying ruling on the merits that the Crude Oil Export Tax, or its collection, is unconstitutional or otherwise unlawful, in whole or in part, unless the ruling leaves no taxpayer able to recover any amount paid under the tax by the specified date, 11:59 PM Brasília time (BRT).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The “Crude Oil Export Tax” is the federal export tax (Imposto de Exportação) on crude petroleum oils (NCM 2709) imposed by MP 1.340/2026 and continued by Gecex Resolution No. 938/2026 and subsequent Gecex-Camex resolutions, including any act that extends, renews, or modifies it.
- Changes to the tax’s rate will not affect this market; a ruling concerning the tax at any rate, for any part of the period during which it was collected, will qualify.