Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffRegulaciónTecnología3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado24 jul 26, 20:58 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would require location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 3447 (119th) — “Chip Security Act.”
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve by the same criteria as Polymarket, judged independently by me: Which bills will become law in 2026?