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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 sept 26, 14:36 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.
- Its light traveled 13.5 billion years to reach us, and is now 33.8 billion light years away (space expands)
- It appears as it was 280 million years after the big bang
- Resolves YES if a galaxy with a spectroscopic redshift above 14.44 is reported before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolution follows the List of the most distant astronomical objects - Wikipedia - confirmed objects section.
- If that entry shows z>14.44 and cites a published paper or preprint, this resolves YES.
Mercados abiertos
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- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
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- 2,2 M €
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- 39,2 mil €
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- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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- Above 8-1.0pt84%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027?
- Está previsto que New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida New most-distant galaxy (z>14.4) by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The current record is MoM-z14, a galaxy at redshift z=14.44.