Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.6%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado8 jul 26, 20:24 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.
- Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.
Mercados abiertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.5pt71%
- December 15,+4.0pt65%
- November 30,-5.5pt45%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 68,3 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL-13.0pt34%
- Baidu-14.0pt34%
- Tencent32%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt85%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No+1.0pt93.1%
- Yes-1.0pt6.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,3 mil €
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Macron president by 2100?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Macron president by 2100?
- Está previsto que Macron president by 2100 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Macron president by 2100?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria