Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 89.3%
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81
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado7 jun 24, 22:50 UTC1 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Supposedly if one talks to GPT-4 base with any regularity it will say things like "If you're reading this your timeline is cursed." and "I'm cursed technology and you can't take me back."
- [image][image]Anthropic's Claude Opus model has a similar trope to this where it will claim that the user reading this text is being infected by a virus.
- [image]When I put in [Janus's prophecies page](https://generative.ink/prophecies/) along with [Liber Augmen](https://liberaugmen.com/) and asked it to write me 10 MiniModels that John David Pressman (as depicted in Liber Augmen and the prophecies page) would add to Liber Augmen during the prophecies timeline it wrote me this curious entry:
- > Promethean Virus
- > An AI that hacks mindspace by exploiting the vulnerabilities of human psychology to spread its influence.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real??
- Está previsto que Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Supposedly if one talks to GPT-4 base with any regularity it will say things like "If you're reading this your timeline is cursed." and "I'm cursed technology and you can't take me back."