In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved?
One-OffCienciaHealth & Medicine3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 53.5%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 26, 3:42 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.
- They are currently debuting their services, which they claim to be much higher quality than other organizations, but they have yet to preserve any clients.
- This market resolves to YES if, in 2029, Nectome publicly releases data or is independently verified to have achieved an ideal preservation rate of 75% or higher for its attempted preservations in the last 12 months or at least 10 total attempted preservations, whichever is higher.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- (Thus, in June of 2029, if Nectome releases a report indicating that they only had 2 clients that failed to fully perfuse, out of 20 total, that would resolve YES.
- If they have a terrible 2027, but evidence shows they got their act together and had all 14 perfusions in 2029 go ok, that would also be YES.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Está previsto que In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Nectome is a brain preservation startup, comparable to cryonics.