If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElección1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.2%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado10 mar 24, 9:51 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
FutuurWill Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winner
Robinhood (Rothera)Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
PredictItReglas
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential election AND no federal laws are enacted that legalize cannabis or remove criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024 or if a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use prior to the election on November 5th, 2024.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Athena/if-biden-wins-the-2024-us-president)Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, "federal law enacted" is interpreted broadly: any nationwide decision that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for personal possession will resolve YES.
- Examples that qualify (must apply nationwide):
