If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56%
Pronosticadores
46
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado31 dic 24, 13:07 UTC21 ene 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate
- Militias like the Proud Boys count
- MAGA-aligned independent would count
- Needs to have had a significant (>=10%) chance of success, according to traders' opinions
- Aborted plan or random document doesn't count
- Plan needs to be executed, or disrupted by law enforcement
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 56% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]?
- Está previsto que If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition] se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Republicans lose the 2028 presidential election, will they attempt a coup? [Broad definition]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: High-ranking Republicans with plausible knowledge by the candidate