If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.5%
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Retrasado24 abr 26, 21:52 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements.
- If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading.
- An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.
Mercados abiertos
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- December 15,86%
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+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
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- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
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- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
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- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
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- 348,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 51% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading??
- Está previsto que If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements.