If Labour wins the 2026 NZ general election, they are dependent on support from Te Pāti Māori to govern
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónDeportesCrimen y justiciaPolítica de EE. UU.Ajedrez24d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.1%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
21 mar 26, 17:34 UTC21 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market and will resolve NA if Labour does not win the 2026 NZ general election.
- This market resolves YES if, following the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November 2026, Labour forms a government and requires the support of Te Pāti Māori to command a majority in Parliament.
- This includes scenarios where Te Pāti Māori is part of a formal coalition government or provides confidence and supply support.
- The market resolves NO if Labour wins the election but can form a government without Te Pāti Māori support (e.g., with only the Greens, or with sufficient seats to govern alone or with other parties).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General regarding government formation and any published coalition agreements.
