Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65%
Pronosticadores
66
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
12 may 25, 19:47 UTC1 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsConditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketReglas
"win the House" == when counting all voting representatives who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a majority
- "win the Senate" == when counting all voting senators who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a full majority (51+)
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 506,4 mil €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 843,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 408 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate??
- Está previsto que If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate? se resuelva el 1 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: "win the House" == when counting all voting representatives who caucus with the Democrats, the Democratic caucus has a majority