Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual200 67.8%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado13 jul 26, 2:51 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?
Manifold MarketsWill a women walk on the moon before there is a women majority leader in the senate
Manifold MarketsBy 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketReglas
Unique people, when there are 100 simultaneously on the surface.
- Are we tourists, or going there to stay early in the process?
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,3 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volumen total
- 153,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 409,9 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 200 al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it??
- Está previsto que How many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many people will have walked on the Moon, when there are 100 people on it??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Unique people, when there are 100 simultaneously on the surface.