Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
China 82%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 24, 2:58 UTC3 ene 32, 19:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketReglas
This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.
- To add countries, please use a simple, English, colloquial name for the country.
- I reserve the right to make good faith edits to new answers in order to match the style.
- This market closes a few days after New Year’s Day to allow for clarity around potential ambiguous circumstances.
- Related markets:
- @/jks/by-2030-which-countries-will-have-c
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,3 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volumen total
- 153,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 409,9 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza China al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)?
- Está previsto que By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo) se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2032.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.