Pronóstico comunitario actual
At least 2 99%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+49.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado13 sept 26, 4:13 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve based on the official status of the Millennium Prize Problems as determined by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) on its official website: claymath.org/millennium-problems.
- Each option is independent and will resolve to YES if the cumulative number of officially solved Millennium Prize Problems (including the Poincaré conjecture) meets or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- "Solved" means that someone either proves the statement or proves it false / comes up with a counterexample
- The options will resolve independently, so if 3 problems are solved, the "the named outcome" option will resolve to yes.
- Note: If more problems are added to the Millennium Prize Problems list, I will add more options.
- Background (written by AI)
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 63,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 63,6 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,5 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 27,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza At least 2 al 99% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030??
- Está previsto que How many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many of the 7 Millennium Prize Problems will be solved by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve based on the official status of the Millennium Prize Problems as determined by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) on its official website: claymath.org/millennium-problems.