Pronóstico comunitario actual
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75) 37.9%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado anteayer
Desactualizado1 nov 25, 8:1531 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75)38%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
88 €Sí: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
44 €0 (0 bps): 82.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Fed Decision in July?
997,2 mil €No change: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
165,2 mil €0 (0: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by...?
30,1 mil €October Meeting: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
3,1 mil €Fed maintains rate: 82%
KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
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Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.News
BofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%Blockchain.NewsWarsh flags easy financing as Polymarket lifts July Fed hold odds to 78.5%Blockchain.News
Warsh drops forward guidance as Polymarket pegs 2026 zero cuts at 79.85%Blockchain.NewsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the number of 25-basis-point net rate cuts the Federal Reserve implements during 2026 calendar year.
- Each 25 bp cut counts as one, a 50 bp cut fomc counts as 2.
- If they cut the rate and raise it back then it will be considered as 0 net rate cuts.
- Resolution will be determined by official FOMC meeting announcements and the Federal Reserve's policy statements.
- Check the Federal Reserve's official website for meeting dates and decisions.