Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 71.3%
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado27 jul 24, 14:18 UTC1 ene 36, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Will it turn out that NASA's Perseverance rover findings cited in the july 26, 2024 paper in Scientific American are traces of extraterrestrial life ?
- https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/nasas-perseverance-rover-discovers-a-rock-that-may-contain-alien/
- Update 2025-09-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve YES if the scientific community considers other Perseverance samples with similar "leopard spots" features sufficient evidence of life on Mars, even if the specific samples cited in the 2024-07-26 Scientific American article are not returned to Earth for confirmation.
Mercados abiertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,7 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volumen total
- 101,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,5 mil €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ??
- Está previsto que Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2036.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Has NASA's Perseverance rover found traces of extraterrestrial life ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will it turn out that NASA's Perseverance rover findings cited in the july 26, 2024 paper in Scientific American are traces of extraterrestrial life ?