Pronóstico comunitario actual
No change 76.8%+1.4ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado29 jul 26, 18:1030 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
- También disponible en Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Fed maintains rate 65%
- También disponible en Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 73%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · No change 67%
- También disponible en Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · No change 68%
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,1 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 resultados más
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 138,6 mil €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
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- Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Fed decision in September??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No change al 77% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Fed decision in September??
- Está previsto que Fed decision in September? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Fed decision in September??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- ¿Dónde más está listado Fed decision in September??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.