Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 98.8%
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62
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 sept 26, 6:03 UTC8 oct 26, 6:03 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])
- [link preview]Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Only the Millennium Prize formulation of the Navier-Stokes problem is valid for a YES resolution.
- Partial solutions or progress towards a solution will not count.
- Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To resolve YES, OpenAI must have found the full solution before this market was created.
- Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator intends to resolve the market based on the Lean-verified proof rather than waiting for formal peer review.
- They will request a re-resolution if the proof is later found to be incorrect.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes???
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes???
- Está previsto que Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes?? se resuelva el 8 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes???
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])