Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 64.9%
Pronosticadores
52
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 25, 1:00 UTC3 ene 28, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.
- The testimony or evidence need not be publicly available if a consensus of credible reporting is available that it happened.
- For example, a court documenting describing the photo, or a news report summarizing the testimony is likely sufficient.
- There is no requirement that the evidence be compelling, or that there be a lack of evidence to the contrary; it must merely be presented under oath as fact without caveats or equivocation.
- Update 2025-07-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The term minor is defined by the applicable age of consent laws for the location and time of the alleged act.
- The market is about testimony regarding presumptively illegal acts.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)?
- Está previsto que Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.) se resuelva el 3 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will a court or congressional hearing be presented with sworn testimony stating that Donald Trump had sex with a minor, or with photo, video, or other recorded evidence to the same effect? This would include testimony on the stand or in a deposition, and could include both direct eyewitness or victim accounts or other unambiguous assertions without caveats by the witness.