Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 57.5%
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 24, 21:01 UTC2 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
This will resolve based on mainstream media reports.
- Any kind of dementia counts.
- Outside speculation does not count, unless the evidence is so strong that mainstream media consensus emerges.
- https://www.newsweek.com/stop-talking-about-bidens-mental-acuity-start-talking-about-trumps-signs-dementia-opinion-1853741
- I do not bet on my markets.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028?
- Está previsto que Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve based on mainstream media reports.