Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2050-12-31 71.9%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado30 ago 26, 2:59 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Space elevators, launch loops, mass drivers, spin launch, whatever.
- Anything that gets at least 1/3 of its delta-V from something not a rocket counts.
- From the surface of the Earth, Moon, Mars, or anything else with at least the Moon's escape velocity, to orbit or escape.
- Payload must survive enough to transmit from orbit or do something useful.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2050-12-31 al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen??
- Está previsto que By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Space elevators, launch loops, mass drivers, spin launch, whatever.