Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 92%
Pronosticadores
80
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado26 nov 22, 5:59 UTC31 dic 32, 19:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
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+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,9 mil €
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- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,8 mil €
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- 5,8 mil €
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- Hurricane95%
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- 6,1 mil €
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- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volumen total
- 18,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volumen total
- 136,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 247 €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive??
- Está previsto que By the start of 2033, will at least a billion people be alive? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2032.