Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNick Bostrom 85.2%Líder entre 37 opciones
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado2 oct 25, 7:35 UTC30 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
"We get ASI" = 1 January of the year before the first of the questions in this series to resolve YES (e.g. if https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034 resolves NO and https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035 resolves YES, this question resolves based on who is alive on 1 Jan 2024).
