By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
IAOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 80.3%
Pronosticadores
86
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado19 dic 22, 20:32 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.
- We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant overall the AI is.
- Individual examples that would cause this market to resolve YES: - All (or the overwhelming majority) of assets are AI generated -> YES - All game mechanics are AI generated -> YES - All the story / dialogue elements are AI generated in a visual novel -> YES
- At the end of 2026 if this market closes and no game has met the critera, this market will resolve NO.
- What counts as a game?
- I am fleshing out two main requirements: 1.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Está previsto que By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.