Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.6%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado27 ago 23, 5:29 UTC2 ene 41, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Connecting each sides mainland, not islands
- (Although stopovers or steps at islands are fine)
- You'll be able to travel above water not flying between the countries
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Bridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Bridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040?
- Está previsto que Bridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2041.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Bridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track