¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 52.9% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 52.9%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 17 minutos

13 ago 23, 21:17 UTC1 ene 30, 4:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA.

If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.
Here is some additional information: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html