Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.8%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado12 mar 26, 12:4831 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- If Alexandre de Moraes’s resignation, removal, suspension, or any other departure from the Court is officially announced before the market end date, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of when that change takes effect.
- Resolution will be based primarily on official statements or records from Alexandre de Moraes and the Brazilian government.
- In the absence of clear official confirmation, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
US Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1094,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 724,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly26%
- Scott Jennings+1.0pt19.2%
- Maria Bartiromo16.4%
+26 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.8pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.2pt4.8%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 53,7 M €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 55,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 279,1 mil €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Fed Decision in October?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 3 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026??
- Está previsto que Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Futuur, Polymarket.