Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
Política de EE. UU.One-OffAmérica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.6%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
12 mar 26, 12:48 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- If Alexandre de Moraes’s resignation, removal, suspension, or any other departure from the Court is officially announced before the market end date, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of when that change takes effect.
- Resolution will be based primarily on official statements or records from Alexandre de Moraes and the Brazilian government.
- In the absence of clear official confirmation, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 79%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? · Before Jan 1, 2028 75%
- También disponible en Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
