Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.8%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 19:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Alcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Alcoa's aluminum segment production in 2026 exceeds 2.3 million metric tons (2,300 kt), as reported in the company's official full-year 2026 earnings release or SEC filings.
- The resolution will be based on actual production figures disclosed by Alcoa Corporation for the calendar year 2026.
- Resolution source: Alcoa Investor Relations or SEC EDGAR filings.
- Alcoa expects 2025 aluminum segment production of 2.3-2.5 million tonnes, with the lower bound at exactly 2.3 Mt. In Q3 2025, aluminum segment production increased 1% sequentially to 579,000 metric tons, driven by continued progress on the San Ciprián, Spain smelter restart.
- Aluminum production increased 5% annually in 2024 primarily due to the restart of capacity at the Warrick smelter and continued progress on the Alumar smelter restart.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 182,3 mil €
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 resultados más
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- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)?
- Está previsto que Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria