Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 70.1%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 19:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Alcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsWagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Wagerup's alumina production in 2026 exceeds 2.5 million tonnes (2,500 kt).
- Resolution will be determined by Alcoa's official 2026 annual production figures, which should be disclosed in quarterly earnings reports or annual sustainability reports available on Alcoa's investor relations website (https://news.alcoa.com).
- Wagerup Refinery has a capacity of 2.9 million tonnes per year and is the second largest producer of alumina in the AWAC global joint venture between Alumina Limited and Alcoa.
- In Q3 2025, alumina production increased 4 percent sequentially to 2.5 million metric tons, primarily due to higher output from Australian refineries with lower maintenance in the quarter.
- An efficiency project aims to enable the two existing refinery production units to achieve approximately 3.3 million tonnes per annum, up from the current licensed capacity of 2.85 Mtpa.
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 414,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 265,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 resultados más
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 126,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 126,9 mil €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 113,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 112,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 110,5 mil €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)?
- Está previsto que Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Wagerup 2026 alumina production exceeds 2.5 Mt (2,500 kt)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria