Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54.2%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 17:58 UTC30 jun 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's alumina segment 2026 production exceeds 9.5 Mt (9,500 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)
Manifold MarketsAlcoa Australia 2026 alumina production exceeds 6.0 Mt (6,000 kt)
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The Wagerup gallium plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually.
- This market resolves YES if production in the trailing twelve months (T12M) as of Q2 2027 exceeds 10 tonnes.
- Resolution will be based on Alcoa's official quarterly or annual production reports, or verified third-party sources reporting Wagerup gallium output.
- The market resolves NO if T12M production as of Q2 2027 is 10 tonnes or below.
- Alcoa's Wagerup gallium plant is located at the Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with development supported by Japan Australia Gallium Associates (JAGA), a joint venture between the Japanese government and Sojitz, through a Joint Development Agreement signed with Alcoa in August 2025.
Mercados abiertos
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 414,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 265,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 resultados más
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 126,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 126,9 mil €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 113,1 mil €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 112,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 110,5 mil €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 113,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027?
- Está previsto que Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027 se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria