Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TecnologíaOne-OffCommoditiesBusiness & Corporate3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 72%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado12 ene 26, 17:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026?
- Está previsto que Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria