Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026
TecnologíaOne-OffMaterias primasNegocios y empresas2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 2:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.1%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 17:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if the Wagerup gallium plant begins operations by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Alcoa Corporation or the joint venture partners (JAGA, US government, Australian government) confirming that the facility has produced its first gallium metal.
- The plant is expected to produce 100 metric tons of gallium annually once operational.
- Alcoa Corporation is developing a gallium plant at its Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, with support from the US and Australian governments and a joint venture between the Japanese Government and Sojitz Corporation.
- Gallium is naturally present in bauxite, the raw material used in alumina production, and can be extracted during the refining process.
