Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.1%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado26 nov 25, 5:13 UTC28 abr 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution Use the first USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries “Iron and Steel Slag” that includes 2026 world data:
- Take the midpoint of the world iron slag range (from BF pig iron) and the midpoint of the world steel slag range (from steel furnaces).
- Let TOTAL_2026 = iron_mid_2026 + steel_mid_2026.
- YES if TOTAL_2026 > 595 Mt, otherwise NO
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the first USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries report that includes 2026 world data shows combined global iron and steel slag output exceeding 595 million tonnes.
