Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 12:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 61.9%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado1 jul 25, 22:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, the cumulative nameplate capacity of binding power purchase agreements (PPAs) for nuclear electricity explicitly linked to AI data center operations reaches or exceeds 15 gigawatts (GW).
- To qualify, an agreement must:
- Be legally binding, not a memorandum of understanding (MoU) or letter of intent (LOI).
- Involve named counterparties, with at least one party identified as a cloud provider, AI lab, or hyperscaler.
- Explicitly cite AI, cloud computing, or data centers as the intended energy use.
