Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 75.6%
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado26 jun 26, 7:51 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES iff there is a successful AI-assisted, or autonomously AI executed, cyber attack on the real-time gross settlement system (eg Fedwire in the US, Europe's T2) of any OECD country by January 1st 2028.
- The qualifying attack should result in the settlement system going offline for at least two hours, and must be the result of a deliberate attack by a third party that uses AI as a major part of the attack, or is itself an AI, according to credible reporting.
- Disruptions attributable to human error or internal operational failures do not count.