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Datos del 24 jul 2026, 19:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Pronóstico comunitario actual90-100% 42%+1.8ptLíder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 días
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 23:1031 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
<20%1%
Comparar plataformas· 90-100%
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurMejor en general93% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 50% | — | 0 € | 5,2 mil € | hace 12 minutos | Abrir → |
| Manifold MarketsEsta página | — | 42% | — | — | — | hace 3 días |
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What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
5m
52.6%
31.6%
10.5%
+1 resultados más
36 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoLiquidez mediaAlta ambigüedad
Volumen total39,6 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURReglas
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$5023 jul2d de datos24 jul
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(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.