PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual1470+ 84%-8.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
100 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
24 mil €
Liquidez
28,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.2%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-2.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
15 jul 26, 1:1931 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
1470+84%
Tendencia de volumen
$27.3k15 jul12d de datos26 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Which company has best AI model end of July?
255,5 mil €Anthropic: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best Chinese AI Company end of July?
34,7 mil €Alibaba: 76%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
28,2 mil €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 96%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Best AI this week
22,3 mil €ChatGPT: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Anthropic IPO by __?
16,3 mil €December 31,: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
10,5 mil €Before Dec 1, 2026: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
DeepMind CEO Says AGI Will Be Bigger Than Electricity or FireDecryptReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Opus" may qualify (e.g., claude-Opus-4.9, claude-Opus-5.0-thinking, claude-Opus-5.1-preview, or similar).
- Claude models labeled only as Sonnet, Haiku, or another non-Opus variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.