PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Alibaba 68%-9.8%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
49 mil €
Liquidez
90,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
24.6% / 31.5%
Spread
28.1%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+15.4%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
4 jun 26, 19:2831 jul 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Alibaba68%
Operaciones grandes
$1.2k98.4%POLYMARKETWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 d$1.7k50.5%POLYMARKETWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Yesrewardbotshace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — Yesrewardbotshace 3 d$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 d$1.2k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 d
POLYMARKETWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? — NoBigggggggghace 3 dTendencia de volumen
$55.9k2 jul21d de datos22 jul
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This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.