Pronóstico comunitario actual
Up 5% to 14% 57.7%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado15 dic 25, 23:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27)
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDaily LLM assistant personal usage exceeds 2 hours for >10% of users on any platform by end-2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Simple question: what will be the percentage difference between the S&P500 at the opening bell on the first trading day of 2026, compared to the closing bell on the last trading day of 2026.
- AI bubbles correction? interest rate cuts?
- Note these are days and hours in which the U.S. market is open, and not any after hours trading, or trading on international markets in different time
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the percentage change of the S&P 500 between the opening price on the first trading day of 2026 and the closing price on the last trading day of 2026.
- Only regular market hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET) count; after-hours trading is excluded.
