🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBitcoin reaches 180K usd or more 98.2%Líder entre 100 opciones
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado4 ene 26, 4:14 UTC5 ene 27, 3:40 UTC
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README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:
- 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 2% (happens next)
- 100th event: 100% (happens latest)
- Any events that do not happen by EOY will be resolved 100% YES.
- Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 28" should be Nov 27 (the correct date for Thanksgiving Day in 2025).
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)?
- Está previsto que 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE) se resuelva el 5 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🗓️2026 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (37 DONE)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards: