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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Society & Culture
  3. ⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)
Manifold Markets

⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2026? (9 DONE)

One-OffSociety & CultureTecnologíaPolítica6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
grok 5 releases 87.5%
Líder entre 40 opciones
Pronosticadores

28

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 minutos

2 ene 26, 5:461 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

grok 5 releases88%

Reglas

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.

Mercados Relacionados

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?

1,1 M €
160-179: 41%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

811,8 mil €
140-159: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 13 - June 15, 2026?

231,7 mil €
<40: 67%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?

185,7 €
Sí: 3.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?

75,7 €
Barack Obama: 4.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?

0 €
Sí: 11.7%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$63,750.12-0.76%EthereumETH$1,660.33-1.25%SolanaSOL$67.34-1.38%DogecoinDOGE$0.0863-1.71%BNBBNB$604.12-0.70%XRPXRP$1.13-1.28%

Noticias Relacionadas

Google's DiffusionGemma Boosts AI Text Generation on NVIDIA GPUsBlockchain.NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsGoogle Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraph

Reglas

The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets
  • If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.