🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: Yes (2.5%)

Resuelto: 19 ago 2026, 5:08

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 97.5%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado

14 ago 26, 19:5318 ago 26, 20:59

Cronología de Probabilidad

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

97.5%

Sí

2.5%

Reglas

Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Este mercado se resolvió: Yes (2.5%)

Resuelto: 19 ago 2026, 5:08

Resolución verificada por el proveedor

CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 97.5%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado

14 ago 26, 19:5318 ago 26, 20:59

Cronología de Probabilidad

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

97.5%

Sí

2.5%

Reglas

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 20 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Está previsto que 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? se resuelva el 18 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Preguntas frecuentes

Mercados abiertos

Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?

What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?