![🍞 Improve my bread? 🍞 [ADD OPTIONS]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fuser-images%252Fdefault%252FqUqhg0h2Ql.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Df978e3d8-b66c-45f6-a5ae-88c9fa1fe3f5&w=128&q=80)
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min 100%Líder entre 135 opciones
Pronosticadores
360
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 42 minutos
22 may 25, 19:43 UTC30 sept 26, 22:36 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
If the change is distinguishable AND is worse, resolves NO
- If the change is distinguishable AND is better, resolves YES
- If the change is not distinguishable AND does not greatly (25%?ish) reduce time or inputs, resolves NO
- If the change is not distinguishable AND does greatly (25%?ish) reduce time or inputs, resolves YES
- If I determine the change is too difficult (I have my own mill but sifting by hand could be maybe too tedious?, stuff like grow my own wheat), I am liable to resolve that option N/A
- If I determine the change departs too far from the categories "bread" or "loaf of bread" (such as suggesting I make a bread bowl with split pea soup😋 or a BLT 😋 or cinnamon rolls 😋), resolves N/A
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🍞 Improve my bread? 🍞 [ADD OPTIONS]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Stretch-and-fold after mixing, 3x every 30 min al 100% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🍞 Improve my bread? 🍞 [ADD OPTIONS]?
- Está previsto que 🍞 Improve my bread? 🍞 [ADD OPTIONS] se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🍞 Improve my bread? 🍞 [ADD OPTIONS]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the change is distinguishable AND is worse, resolves NO