KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 86% 64%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
41 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
27,7 €
Liquidez
5,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
19 sept 26, 0:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiDallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiHillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent
KalshiMiami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent
KalshiDane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiOakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Bureau of Commissions, Elections and Legislation, Department of State, Harrisburg, PA
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 193,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 710,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 584,6 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 407,5 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 14,9 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 86% al 64% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent?
- Está previsto que Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Josh Shapiro in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania is 80% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.