KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 1% 94%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
27 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
333,7 €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
1 sept 26, 2:00 UTC4 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PredictItWho will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Renan Santos's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 1% al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)?
- Está previsto que Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round) se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Renan Santos in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.