KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 37% 88%Líder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
1 sept 26, 2:00 UTC4 oct 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 37% al 88% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)?
- Está previsto que Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round) se resuelva el 4 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 37% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.