Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónLatin America1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 55%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 1:01 UTC28 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurWill Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsW50 Evora: Valentina Ivanov vs Gabriella Da Silva Fick
PolymarketW50 Evora: Francisca Jorge vs Gabriella Da Silva Fick
PolymarketReglas
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 55% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Está previsto que Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? se resuelva el 28 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here: